课文
An Interactive Life
It will put the world at your fingertips, changing the ways you shop, play
and learn. But when will the future arrive?
Barbara Kantrowitz with Joshua Cooper Ramo
To get an idea of what the future might bring, step into the past. At
the Edison National Historical Site in West Orange, N. J., there's a room
full of a dozen old phonograph machines. Some were built by Thomas Edison,
who invented recorded sound in 1877, and others were produced by
competitors. In the decades represented by the display, the concept and
purpose of sound recording changed dramatically. Edison conceived of his
机械加工工艺规程 phonograph as a business machine that would help people in distant places
communicate. He intended to record voices – nothing more. His competitors 华夏艺术中心
envisionedthe greater potential for entertainment and art. Where he saw
internal memos, someone else saw Beethoven.
由过去的历史可以推知未来。在新泽西州西奥兰治镇的爱迪生国家历史纪念馆里，有一个陈列留声机的展厅，里面陈列了十二台老式留声机。这些留声机有些是由托马斯?爱迪生制造的，正是他于1877年发明了留声技术；而另外的一些则是那些竞争对手们制造的。在这些展出的留声机所反映的那几十年的历史中，留声技术的概念和功用发生了巨大的变化。在爱迪生的认识里，留声机就是一种能帮助远隔两地的人们进行通讯交流的工具。他只想要录下人们的声音——一点也没想到别的，但那些竞争者们却想到了它在娱乐和艺术方面的更大发展潜力。爱迪生从留声机里看到了备忘记事本，别人却从中发现了贝多芬。 Someday, there may well be a similar memorial to the unfulfilled
prophecies of the creators of the latest breakthrough -- interactivity. 苄丝肼
Will it really change the world? With so much big money and so many big 高州市第二中学
dreams pinned to an idea that is still largely on the drawing boards,
there's no limit to the hype . Simply put, the ultimate promise is this: a
huge amount of information available to anyone at the touch of a button,
everything from airline schedules to esoteric scientific journals to video
versions at oft-oft-off Broadway. Watching a movie won't be a passive
experience. At various points, you'll click on alternative story lines and
create your individualized version of "Terminator X II." Consumers will
send as well as receive all kinds of data. Say you shoot a video that you
think is particularly artsy. Beam it out and make a small fortune by
charging an untold number of viewers a tee for watching. Peter Jennings
would be obsolete . Video-camera owners could record news they see and put DML
it on the universal network. On the receiving end, the era of the
no-brainer will have finally arrived. An electronic device called an
"intelligent agent" would be programmed to know each viewer's preferences
and make selections from the endless stream of data. Viewers could select
whatever they wanted just by pushing a button.
将来某一天，完全有可能出现一个类似的纪念馆来纪念最新的突破性技术——互相作用技术发明者们的尚未实现的预言。这项技术真的能够改变世界吗?一个尚处于理论设计阶段的技术发展计划既得到巨额的资金投入，又成为人们无限的期望所系，也无怪乎其能够轰动一时了。其实，说白了，这一计划的最高期望目标是：任何人只要触动一个按钮即可得到大量的信息——从航空班机时刻表到深奥的专业杂志到最最新百老汇戏剧实验中心的戏剧录像节目，各种信息应有尽有。看电影将不再是一种消极被动的经历。你司以一边看，一 边随意改动任何一处的故事情节从而创造出具有自己的个人风格的“终结者12号”节目来。消费者既能够接收，也可以发送各种各样的信息。例如，你若能拍摄一部你认为很有艺术价值的录像片，将它播放出去，便可以通过向那些为数不少的观看该片者收费而发一笔小财。彼得?杰宁斯将不再闻名，所有持有摄像机的人都可以自己摄制新闻节目，然后通过环球通用信息网播放出去。而对于收看节目的人来说，无需费力调频道选节目的时代终于到来。一种称作“智能助手”的电子装置可以通过编制好的程序掌握各个观看者的选择意向对无穷无尽的节目信息进行选择。观看者只需按一下按钮就可得到想要的节目。
Sounds great in theory, but even the truest believers have a hard time
when it comes to nailing down specifics about how it will actually work.
Will we control the data via the telephone, the TV, the personal computer
or a combination of all of the above? When will it be available? Will it
be cheap enough for everyone? How will we negotiate such a mass of images,
facts and figures and still find time to sleep? Will government regulate
长江三角洲经济圈 messages sent out on this vast data highway? And, frankly, what do we need
all this stuff for anyway?
这在理论上听起来是棒极了，但一旦具体到究竟如何运作时，就连最真诚的信奉者也感到为难。我们是通过电话、电视、家用电脑，还是上述几种方式的综合运用来支配资料?它何时可以上市?它能便宜到人人都能买得起吗?我们怎样才能处理如此大量的图像、材料、数字而还有时间睡觉?政府会对通过这广阔的信息公路发出的信息进行调控吗?而且，坦率地讲，我们究竟要这些东西干什么呢?
The quick answer is: no one knows. "We're a long way from "Wild Palms',"
says Diana Hawkins, who runs an interactive-TV consulting firm in Portola
Valley, Calif. But even if the techno-chaos of that futuristic fantasy
mini-series is far off, some consumers may indeed notice that their
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