谈谈俄乌局势对国际形势的影响英语作文

谈谈俄乌局势对国际形势的影响英语作文

The hundred year changes under the Russia Ukraine conflict and

the impact of the COVID-19 are intertwined and superimposed,

bringing great uncertainty to the international situation. The current

geopolitical tension and the international situation of camp

confrontation have seriously hampered the world economic

recovery. However, the theme of the times of peace and

development has not changed. Only the international community

firmly adheres to the mission of solidarity and win-win cooperation

can it cope with the changes in the global situation.

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine, which lasted for

several months, intensified the expansion of cold war thinking and

geopolitical tension. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine is

reshaping the international situation in an unprecedented way. The

conflict has redrawn the geopolitical map of Europe, prompting

NATO to "make a comeback", the old alliance of the cold war

"resurgence", and constantly strengthening the cold war thinking of

NATO and Russia. The United States is trying to reconstruct global

geopolitics with the help of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine,

so that its old allies can regroup behind it and jointly curb the rising

emerging powers.

"Indo Pacific strategy" is becoming a synonym for group politics.

The United States maintains its dominant hegemonic system by

promoting geopolitics. From strengthening the "five eye alliance" to

implementing the "Quartet security dialogue" mechanism focusing

on security, the United States has different ways to promote the

establishment of national alliances. Recently, the United States,

Britain and Australia invited Japan to join the "trilateral security

partnership" on informal occasions, and the original intention of the

agreement was to help Australia build nuclear powered submarines

and strengthen military technology exchanges and sharing.

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has strengthened the

global camp confrontation, and the hegemonism and unilateral

actions of the United States and Western countries threaten world

peace and development. Ukraine has been trying to join NATO.

After the outbreak of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine,

NATO made concerted efforts to assist Ukraine against Russia. The

restoration of NATO's attractiveness has led Finland and Sweden to

apply to join it. The principle of neutrality was once deeply rooted

in these two countries, but the conflict between Russia and Ukraine

made the two countries completely abandon this principle. In the

geopolitical conflict area, the western countries represented by

NATO have launched a camp confrontation with Russia, and it is the

Russia Ukraine conflict that "reactivated" NATO. At present, the

Western camp will no longer question the effectiveness of NATO.

Under the influence of hegemonism, the local conflict between

Russia and Ukraine continues to expand.

In addition to intensifying political confrontation, the United

States and other countries are also trying to build economic camps

and alliances that are decoupled from China's economy. In order to

counter the regional comprehensive economic partnership

agreement that came into effect at the beginning of this year, the

United States has accelerated the pace of promoting the "Indo

Pacific strategy". Recently, the United States held a quadripartite

security meeting with Japan, South Korea and India, and then

announced the launch of the "Indian Pacific economic framework"

(IPEF). On the surface, IPEF is an economic agreement to create a

"decoupling and chain breaking" economic and trade agreement

between China and its surrounding countries. In fact, it is a "political

arrangement" led by the United States. The purpose is to unite allies

to suppress China's development momentum in the Indian Pacific

region.

With the continued spread of the COVID-19, the conflict

between Russia and Ukraine has further dragged down the global

economic recovery, and the prospects for the world economy are

even bleaker. On June 7, David Malpass, President of the world bank,

warned that "for many countries, economic recession will be difficult

to avoid" when releasing the latest version of the global economic

outlook report. The world bank sharply lowered its global economic

growth forecast for 2022 to 2.9%, about half of last year's growth

rate.

First, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has led to a sharp

rise in the prices of global energy and raw materials. Russia accounts

for 12% of the global oil trade, and 60% of the oil produced is

exported to Europe. At the same time, Russia is also a major

producer and exporter of key strategic materials such as titanium,

palladium, neon, nickel and aluminum. After the outbreak of the

conflict, Goldman Sachs raised its forecast for Brent crude oil prices

in 2022 and 2023 to $135 / barrel and $115 / barrel respectively.

Under the dual influence of geopolitics and the energy revolution,

the global energy supply and demand have undergone significant

structural changes. At present, the turbulence in the international

energy market has created potential risks for the global resource

crisis, and also reflects the conflict of interest and strategic

confrontation between energy producing and consuming countries.

Secondly, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has

contributed to the soaring global food prices. Russia and Ukraine

account for more than one third of the total global grain exports.

The outbreak of the conflict coincided with the planting season in

Ukraine, which will have a far-reaching impact on the global grain

shortage. Food security has become increasingly important under

the triple influence of climate deterioration, geographical conflicts

and the COVID-19. Extreme weather caused by climate change and

sowing delays caused by geographical conflicts are important

factors affecting food planting and harvest. People in countries and

regions with serious covid-19 epidemic may hoard food and food,

causing disorder in the food market.

Thirdly, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine makes the

global commodity market face the impact of supply and demand

dislocation. After the conflict, the United States and Europe imposed

unprecedented large-scale sanctions on Russia, which not only

directly hindered Russia's commodity exports, but also reduced the

import sources of its own important materials, thereby seriously

interfering with global economic and trade exchanges. The

confidence and expectation of the market in Global trade and

investment have gradually declined, and the tendency of

conservative economic and trade policies of various countries has

also intensified, and the already depressed world economic outlook

has become increasingly bleak.

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine will not change the

theme of the times of peace and development, and the people of all

countries will not change their pursuit of a better life. The conflict

between Russia and Ukraine has brought great harm and suffering

to the people of the two countries, and also affected the future

direction of the international situation. Peace or war? Development

or recession? Open or closed? Cooperation or confrontation? We

should help each other and jointly promote global sustainable

development; We should work together to achieve win-win

cooperation; We should be inclusive and inclusive, and jointly

expand openness and integration. Therefore, no matter how

complicated and difficult the international situation is, the theme of

the times of peace and development will not change.

Safeguarding world peace and development is the fundamental

guarantee for the people of all countries to pursue a better life.

Mitigation of global geopolitical conflicts is fundamental to

maintaining world peace. Therefore, we should take building a

security community as our long-term goal, and resolve geopolitical

conflicts and wars to the greatest extent through the

implementation of the global security initiative and the global

development initiative. By promoting poverty reduction, food

security, anti epidemic and vaccine, development financing, digital

economy and green development, all countries have increased the

sense of gain of people in all countries in their pursuit of a better

life. Putting people first and life first is the purpose that the Chinese

government has always upheld in combating the epidemic, and it is

also the responsibility of promoting world peace and security and

safeguarding world peace and tranquility.

In the complex world situation, the international community

should firmly adhere to the mission of working together in the same

boat and win-win cooperation. There are still many disputes and

conflicts in the world. The only way to solve these problems is for

the international community to stick to the mission of working

together in the same boat. Openness and inclusiveness are

necessary for all countries to achieve win-win cooperation. After

several days of consultations and negotiations, the recently

concluded 12th Ministerial Conference of the World Trade

Organization has achieved fruitful results on issues such as food

security, fishery subsidies, temporary tariff exemption for electronic

transmission and WTO reform, which has boosted the confidence of

the international community in the multilateral trading system.

Since the outbreak, BRICs countries have supported multilateralism

in the field of health, reiterated their support for the leadership role

of the World Health Organization in combating the epidemic on

many occasions, and worked together to build a more

comprehensive, close, pragmatic and inclusive high-quality

partnership.

Economic globalization is the objective requirement and

irresistible historical trend of the development of productive forces.

In this context, there is both cooperation and competition among

countries. Close cooperation and legitimate competition are

important ways to achieve win-win and development. The

coexistence of the situation of "rising in the East and falling in the

west" and the pattern of "strong in the West and weak in the East"

will become one of the main features of the evolution of the

international situation in the future. China will coordinate the "two

overall situations", unswervingly continue to expand opening-up,

actively participate in global governance, and promote common

prosperity while building a new development pattern.